Will the NZDUSD Dance Lead to the March 2020 Lows?

Diving into the intricate dance of the New Zealand dollar to the American dollar, it’s evident that the currency pair is currently sketching new yearly lows. This remarkable behavior makes it a fitting subject for today’s analysis. The New Zealand dollar has been showing notable weakness recently, making it an outlier among other currencies.

Technically, the currency’s movement is a study in precision. Picture a careful descent down a staircase, with each step representing a meticulously crafted pattern of horizontal resistances and supports. These critical points on the chart play out a familiar sequence – being broken, tested, and then reconfirmed. To visualize this, one can identify the yellow horizontal resistance, followed by a blue support-turned-resistance, and presently, the orange support, which is undergoing a transformation into a resistance line after being broken.

When projecting the path ahead for this currency pair, the green line emerges as the immediate target. But given its reputation as a rather tentative support in a downtrend scenario, there’s every possibility that the price might breeze past it without much ado. Zooming out for a broader perspective, the gray area stands out as the prime target. This zone has historical significance, marking the lows of March 2020 and October 2022. With the current bearish momentum, it wouldn’t be a stretch to anticipate the price touching this area in the coming weeks.

However, for traders banking on a reversal, certain markers would signal a shift in sentiment. A move above the orange resistance would hint at the negative trend waning, while a longer-term positive shift would be confirmed if prices climb back above the blue resistance.

Source: https://www.axiory.com/analytics/technical-analysis/will-the-nzdusd-dance-lead-to-the-march-2020-lows