The Great Reversal: False Breakouts Trigger Rally Across Indices

By Tomasz Wisniewski|

Published: November 02 2023, 06:54 GMT+0

The Great Reversal: False Breakouts Trigger Rally Across Indices

Welcome to today’s market analysis, where we dissect the aftermath of the Federal Reserve’s latest interest rate decision. Contrary to the tremors that often follow such high-stakes events, the markets have absorbed the Fed’s communication with surprising aplomb. Let’s venture into this further.

In a remarkable turnaround, major indices like the S&P 500 and Dow Jones reclaimed lost ground, effectively rendering the recent bearish breakouts as mere market feints. The NASDAQ, too, found its way back into the wedge pattern, suggesting the bears might have cried victory too soon. These reversals signal a robust push to the upside, a narrative bolstered by investor enthusiasm post-Fed revelations.

Switching our focus to the forex domain, the U.S. dollar exhibits signs of retreating across several pairs. The EURUSD pair climbs, while the USDJPY pair dips, and the USDCHF pair faces a tough resistance zone around 0.908. Yesterday’s champions, AUD, NZD, and JPY, have ceded ground today, with the CHF emerging as the strongest contender in the currency marathon.

On today’s agenda, we anticipate the Bank of England’s interest rate decision, where a steady course is expected. While the economic calendar may appear sparse, the earnings arena is buzzing with anticipation as Apple, Eli Lilly, and Novo Nordisk prepare to disclose their financial health, which could ripple through the markets post-U.S. market close.

In the commodities corner, we’ve observed a slight uptick today. However, the recent bearish trend in precious metals doesn’t obscure the generally positive long-term outlook. Oil, contrastingly, finds itself in murkier waters, with critical support levels breached and a bearish undertone to the current narrative.