Wrapping Up a Turbulent Week in the Financial Markets

By Tomasz Wisniewski|

Published: December 15 2023, 07:08 GMT+0

Wrapping Up a Turbulent Week in the Financial Markets

Hello traders, welcome to Friday’s market analysis. As we close out an eventful week, let’s delve into the key events from Thursday and look ahead to today’s market possibilities.

Yesterday was a day of significant developments, primarily centered around the central bank decisions. In Europe, the ECB, the Bank of England, and the Swiss National Bank all kept their rates steady, aligning with market expectations. Despite no changes in rates, the British Pound emerged as the strongest currency of the day, likely buoyed by Governor Bailey’s remarks suggesting a potential peak in the rate cycle. The Euro also strengthened, reflecting positive market response to the ECB’s decisions.

Across the pond, U.S. retail sales data came in better than expected, showing a 0.3% increase against a forecasted 0.1% decline. This surprising uplift might hint at underlying strength in the U.S. consumer sector, despite inflationary pressures.

As European markets open, we’ve already seen some action from the Asian session. China’s industrial production data outperformed expectations, registering a 6.6% increase compared to the anticipated 5.7%. This positive news from the second-largest economy could be a sentiment booster for global markets.

This Friday morning is witnessing a slight corrective phase. The Canadian dollar and the Australian dollar are leading the pack, possibly reflecting a shift in market focus towards commodity-linked currencies. On the flip side, the New Zealand dollar and the Japanese yen are lagging, indicating a pullback from the previous day’s movements.

For indices traders, it’s been a week to remember. Major indices like the Dow Jones, S&P 500, and European counterparts have consistently hit new highs, riding the wave of dovish central bank sentiments. Today, however, we might see some consolidation or mild corrections as markets digest the week’s events and position themselves ahead of the weekend.

In commodities, gold is attempting a bullish reversal after a weak start to December, while silver continues its downward trajectory. Oil markets are particularly interesting today, as both Brent and WTI are shaping up a potential double bottom pattern. While this could signal a bullish turnaround, traders should watch for a definitive breakout above the neckline of this formation for a clearer buy signal.

As we move through Friday, the focus will be on PMI data releases from major economies, which could inject further volatility into the markets. Given the undercurrent of central bank actions and economic indicators, traders should brace for a dynamic end to the week.

Source: https://www.axiory.com/analytics/market-news/wrapping-up-a-turbulent-week-in-the-financial-mark

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