The Falling Aussie Dollar: RBA’s Impact

By Tomasz Wisniewski|

Published: September 05 2023, 05:05 GMT+0

The Falling Aussie Dollar: RBA’s Impact

Welcome, traders, to another day of trading action this Tuesday. The economic calendar isn’t offering much to discuss today, but let’s not underestimate the impact of the numbers we’ve already received. The morning kicked off with a rather disappointing report from China—the Caixin Services PMI came in at 51.8, falling short of the expected 53.6. The impact reverberated through global markets, leaving investors to ponder China’s economic health.

Down under in Australia, the Reserve Bank kept its cash rate unchanged at 4.1%, meeting market expectations. However, RBA Governor Philip Lowe’s statement leaned towards the dovish side, sending the Australian dollar tumbling. In fact, the Aussie dollar finds itself at the bottom of the currency heap today, with its trans-Tasman cousin, the New Zealand dollar, not faring much better.

It’s a different story for the American dollar and the Euro, which are both holding their ground robustly. If you recall, yesterday’s trading saw the British pound and the Australian dollar leading the charge, with the U.S. dollar and Japanese yen bringing up the rear—a vivid illustration of how quickly market sentiment can shift.

Turning our eyes towards commodities, we had a mixed bag of results yesterday. Precious metals, particularly silver, took a beating, while oil continued its impressive ascent. Brent oil is now nudging the $88 per barrel resistance level, and WTI has solidified its position well above the $83 mark. These oil benchmarks seem to be setting the stage for more bullish action, provided they can hold these levels.

As for the equity markets, indices have had a somewhat shaky start to Tuesday, echoing the sentiment we saw at the beginning of the week. For instance, the German DAX index has formed a bearish head and shoulders pattern and is trading below the neckline, painting a somewhat grim picture for equities, at least for today and possibly tomorrow.

So, there you have it—a quick snapshot of what we’re seeing this Tuesday. From dovish central bank statements and unexpected PMI numbers to volatile commodity prices, traders have a lot to consider. Stay sharp and let’s see where the markets take us next